will-codex-reset.com2026/10/15 06:28 UTC
Next reset time: awaiting updates
Update pendingHistorical estimate · As of 2026/10/16 03:05 UTC · Update pending
Our independent Gamma–Poisson estimate uses the latest 16 completed intervals, with prior α=1 and β=72 hours. The current wait stops at the last data timestamp. Saved grants and ordinary posts are excluded. Coverage is incomplete, confidence is low and accuracy is not guaranteed. Stale percentages remain frozen. 54 verified resets, 16 usable intervals. Horizons start at the estimate time, not now. This is not the probability of your own account resetting.
The peak uses the latest 16 non-observation reset records, comparing three-hour windows at each UTC hour and converting the result to your timezone. Ties use the earliest UTC start. Historical percentiles use the latest 16 completed gaps, retaining only gaps longer than the current wait, then linearly interpolating P25/P50/P75 of the remaining time. P50 is the median comparable historical wait, not an announced next reset. When data is stale, percentile dates stay anchored to the displayed data timestamp.
Based on collected Day posts only.
Drag to preview usage. Your saved record will not change.
The weekly cycle is estimated as 7 days. The white marker shows an even usage pace. Depletion uses your last two readings from the same cycle where possible; otherwise it uses usage so far divided by elapsed time. The bar tracks time from the reading to estimated depletion. This is not a live account balance and excludes allowance added after a reset.
CODEX RESET HISTORY
54 public resets · 10 saved reset grants · Since 2025-09
Tibo confirmed completion: Done and dusted.
Day 8 reset; archive account observation precedes Tibo’s completion reply.
Day 6 reset: Tibo reported propagation complete.
40M active-user milestone: saved reset grant for paid accounts.
Community-voted reset in the 28-day challenge.
Reset following the GPT-6.1 Sol rollout difficulties.
Base history: codex-reset.com · Cross-check: AI IDE List · CC BY 4.0
One announcement can include a public reset and a saved reset grant; these are counted separately. This timeline does not replace your personal reset schedule.
Latest event: Tibo’s completion post was published at 2026-10-15 06:28:13 UTC; the third-party account observation was 06:13:01 UTC; the earlier announcement was 04:56:07 UTC. These are distinct timestamps and do not establish when every account received the reset.
Base records are compared individually. Verified original evidence takes priority; otherwise the primary archive is retained. The latest event uses the saved Tibo completion post, with the third-party observation kept separately.15 records differ in timestamp precision or meaning.
2109812360596865224Selected: 2026-10-13 05:03 UTC+0Comparison: 2026-10-13 05:06 UTC+02107913674593644711Selected: 2026-10-07 19:19 UTC+0Comparison: 2026-10-08 03:44 UTC+02105008012525769969Selected: 2026-09-29 18:53 UTC+0Comparison: 2026-09-29 19:00 UTC+02097043464538264003Selected: 2026-09-08 01:34 UTC+0Comparison: 2026-09-08 01:56 UTC+02094252447271366730Selected: 2026-08-31 02:34 UTC+0Comparison: 2026-08-31 02:29 UTC+02092311059197808936Selected: 2026-08-25 14:15 UTC+0Comparison: 2026-08-25 14:30 UTC+0INDEPENDENT RESET MODEL
Calculated as of 2026-10-16 03:05 UTC+0 · Horizons start at this timestamp
We calculate these probabilities independently using the latest 16 completed reset intervals. Saved reset grants and ordinary posts are excluded. Waiting time ends at the last data timestamp. Stale estimates are frozen; unobserved time is not treated as proof that no reset occurred.
The peak uses the latest 16 non-observation reset records, comparing three-hour windows at each UTC hour and converting the result to your timezone. Ties use the earliest UTC start. Historical percentiles use the latest 16 completed gaps, retaining only gaps longer than the current wait, then linearly interpolating P25/P50/P75 of the remaining time. P50 is the median comparable historical wait, not an announced next reset. When data is stale, percentile dates stay anchored to the displayed data timestamp.
We use a Gamma–Poisson model with prior α=1 and β=72 hours. n is the number of completed intervals, T their total hours, and w the current wait covered by the saved data.
P(h) = 1 − ((72 + T + w) / (72 + T + w + h))^(1 + n)Current n=16，α=17，β=1895.55h. The 24- and 48-hour probabilities are calculated separately from the formula, without compounding rounded percentages.
Model intervals use the 5th–95th percentiles of the posterior arrival rate. They capture only uncertainty within the model, excluding missing records, policy changes and account rollout delays.
Starting with 8 completed intervals, each forecast uses only earlier history. While still waiting, checkpoints at 0, 24, 48 and 72 hours predict the next 24/48 hours. Lower Brier is better. Checkpoints within a gap are correlated, not independent samples or an accuracy percentage.
Parameters are fixed in advance; this backtest reports limitations rather than selecting the best-looking window. Announcements are not continuous account monitoring. Coverage and scope remain uncertain, so confidence stays low. Clear announcements take priority, and your account reset remains governed by /status.
Base history: codex-reset.com · Cross-check: AI IDE List · CC BY 4.0
202 original source posts · Times are UTC; JavaScript adapts them to your time zone
Landing within the next 2 hours
The reports of my reset button being lost are greatly exaggerated Day 10/ Reset
Mashed @poteto on the house.
What would you like with your side of reset? It's done. https://t.co/gpNaB6otgy
Global reset landing by EOD PST time. Enjoy
Day 8/ Reset
Put the reset in the bag. All propagated. https://t.co/HGxaD3Zdcj
The day we reach perfection it will be resets from there onwards https://t.co/I6A9WHOjXT
Global reset by EOD. May the tokens do good things for you.
Day 6/ Reset